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NUTS - What has Hillary won (none / 0)

Here are some cold hard facts.

Going into Super Tuesday, Hillary was up nearly 100 Super Delegates but down in Pledged delegates. The WSJ writes yesterday that the Clinton campaign was expecting to win by 58, and lost by 14. It was over then.

Obama won all the next 11 contests racking up an additional 122 PDs. It was really over then.

On March 5th, Clinton netted just 2 PDs from OH/TX (4 if you count VT and RI). It was really, really over then.

Since then, her wins in PA, IN and WV have netted her 28. And Obama's wins in WY, MS and NC have netted him 28 as well. A tie. So after WV, it was really, really, really over.

And along the way, Obama picked up 9 additional IA PDs in mid-March, plus 7 of Edwards PDs yesterday, for a total of 16.

Last week he finally went ahead of her in SDs. It was really, really, really, really over then.

Supers are flooding to Obama, many from Clinton states, while she has received barely a trickle. Just since the 7th, he has gained endorsements from 4 CA DNC members and 3 CA reps. In that period, he also nabbed two Indiana reps, and a PA rep defection from Clinton to Obama. He also netted three additional Clinton defections (VA, VI SDs and a MD PD.)

In just a week, he went from being down in supers to being up by 21. And now, even Clinton is no longer is discussing MI and FL. That's because even if they were seated in full, with Obama getting no PDs from MI, he still would be up by 77 delegates. Expect 25 more supers by Tuesday. And Wednesday, expect a big, big rally in Florida, with some major league endorsements. Then it will be really, really, really, really, really over.

This is not going to the convention. Obama's lead after the last add-on supers are selected on June 21st, will be well over 250. With MI and FL, it will be over 150. There's nothing left to fight over. The goal posts are next to a cliff. Move them back any more and they're gone.

The fat lady is warming up in her dressing room. She'll be out shortly.    


by PatrickBradish on Fri May 16, 2008 at 11:40:34 AM EST
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