I noticed that MyDD has been getting all excited about General Election polls . . . IN APRIL?!
I understand that it can be entertaining to visit The VoteMaster and 538. I love checking out both websites, but I also understand that this data is pretty much useless until at least a FULL WEEK after the last National Convention.
The polls will start to give the campaigns a general idea of where they should spend their money, but Super-Delegates are smart enough to realize that either DEM will get AT LEAST a 5% jump after Denver.
There should be a few MyDD'ers besides me that remember another Springtime General Election Poll:
In the latest Gallup Poll, taken June 12 to 14 with 1,000 registered voters nationwide, 34 percent preferred Ross Perot, while 32 percent favored President Bush, and 24 percent supported Bill Clinton. - Published: June 19, 1992We all know how accurate that poll turned out!
Polls are entertaining, and sometimes informative . . . but daily diaries from both sides about polling data can get a little old. We must also remember that a week in today's information world is like a month compared to past elections. MUCH can and WILL change for the better once we begin to deeply define John McCain and his wealthy spouse!
Asked how they would vote if the election were held today, 23 percent of registered voters said they would back Mr. Perot, 28 percent Mr. Clinton and 38 percent Mr. Bush. A month ago, Mr. Perot was at 16 percent, Mr. Clinton at 31 percent and Mr. Bush at 44 percent.I loved that 1992 election, and now see how we can apply lessons learned from 16 years ago. I am getting flashbacks of statistical analysis projects during my undergrad years. I need to dig up those old research papers from 1996. I am pretty sure that I was able to support the idea that Perot helped Clinton's cause. Let us hope that Bob Barr can pick up enough steam from Ron Paul supporters to help the DEMS this year!
Mean Season Favors Perot
In a mean political season that seems to reward those who stand outside the fray -- witness Paul E. Tsongas's strong second place finish in the New York primary after withdrawing from the race -- Mr. Perot is thriving as an undeclared candidate. Mr. Clinton's negative ratings have soared during the hard-fought primary campaign, and Mr. Bush's have jumped as well. - April 26, 1992
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